Bowl. Green
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 63.9618Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 H Lafayette 26- 7 906 A Cincinnati B12 ( 7- 5, 77.6) 20-34 913 H Liberty CUSA ( 4- 8, 68.4) 23-13 920 A Louisville ACC ( 8- 6, 81.6) 17-40 927 A Ohio MIDA ( 9- 4, 76.3) 20-35 1011 H Toledo MIDA ( 8- 5, 80.0) 28-23 1018 H Cen Michigan MIDA ( 7- 6, 72.6) 6-27 1025 A Kent State MIDA ( 5- 7, 64.2) 21-24 1101 H Buffalo MIDA ( 5- 7, 64.3) 3-28 1108 A Ea Michigan MIDA ( 4- 8, 67.1) 21-27 1118 H Akron MIDA ( 5- 7, 62.9) 16-19 1125 A UMass IND ( 0-12, 48.7) 45-14
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 A Cincinnati 20-34 -14 -19 0.00
913 H Liberty 23-13 10 1 +++ 9.21
920 A Louisville 17-40 -23 -23 0.00
927 A Ohio 20-35 -15 -18 0.00
1011 H Toledo 28-23 5 -11 +++ 15.74
1018 H Cen Michigan 6-27 -21 -3 --- -10.61
1025 A Kent State 21-24 -3 -6 + 2.54
1101 H Buffalo 3-28 -25 5 --- -18.90
1108 A Ea Michigan 21-27 -6 -8 + 2.42
1118 H Akron 16-19 -3 6 --- -9.29
1125 A UMass 45-14 31 10 + 3.98
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H Cen Michigan 6-27 -21 -3 --- -10.61 1101 H Buffalo 3-28 -25 5 --- -18.90 1118 H Akron 16-19 -3 6 --- -9.29 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 913 H Liberty 23-13 10 1 +++ 9.21 1011 H Toledo 28-23 5 -11 +++ 15.74 1025 A Kent State 21-24 -3 -6 + 2.54 1108 A Ea Michigan 21-27 -6 -8 + 2.42 1125 A UMass 45-14 31 10 + 3.98 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Cincinnati ( 7- 5, 77.6) 20-34 -22.28 28.94 5.26 1.16 -9.86
3 H Liberty ( 4- 8, 68.4) 23-13 -31.47 19.75 -5.26 1.16 33.60
3 A Louisville ( 8- 6, 81.6) 17-40 -18.34 32.88 5.26 1.16 -7.58
3 A Ohio ( 9- 4, 76.3) 20-35 -23.60 27.62 5.26 1.16 -10.63
3 H Toledo ( 8- 5, 80.0) 28-23 -19.94 31.28 -5.26 1.16 60.33
3 H Cen Michigan ( 7- 6, 72.6) 6-27 -27.29 23.93 -5.26 1.16 -18.86
3 A Kent State ( 5- 7, 64.2) 21-24 -35.66 15.56 5.26 1.16 -17.62
3 H Buffalo ( 5- 7, 64.3) 3-28 -35.58 15.64 -5.26 1.16 -23.67
3 A Ea Michigan ( 4- 8, 67.1) 21-27 -32.78 18.44 5.26 1.16 -15.95
3 H Akron ( 5- 7, 62.9) 16-19 -36.97 14.25 -5.26 1.16 -24.47
3 A UMass ( 0-12, 48.7) 45-14 -51.22 1.00 5.26 1.16 14.51
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-20.21
|
winning pts = 108.4372 losing points = -128.6506
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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